Students at the University of Helsinki Library. LEHTIKUVA
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The Finnish Immigration Service has updated its forecasts for immigration applications in 2025 and 2026, predicting a decline in work permit applications, continued high demand for student visas, and moderate asylum application numbers.
The estimates, produced in cooperation with stakeholders, are updated three times a year to account for shifting global conditions.
The economic downturn in Finland has led to fewer work-based residence permit applications. The number is expected to fall further in 2025 before recovering in 2026.
Johannes Hirvelä, Director of Development at the Finnish Immigration Service, said the outlook depends on economic recovery. “We anticipate that next year, the number of employee applications will return to 2021 levels if the economy improves as forecast. This year, we expect 11,000 applications, rising to 15,000 in 2026,” he said.
International student applications are expected to continue their upward trend, reaching 15,000 in 2025 and 16,000 in 2026.
Tighter immigration rules for students have not deterred applicants. Finland remains attractive due to its extensive work rights for international students, the ability to bring family members, and tuition fees that remain competitive by global standards.
Hirvelä noted that many students come from South Asia, where high graduate unemployment drives emigration.
The number of asylum seekers is expected to remain moderate, with an estimated 2,000 to 3,000 first-time applications in 2025.
Applications for temporary protection from Ukrainians are expected to continue at a steady rate. However, the situation in Ukraine and neighbouring regions of the EU could significantly impact future numbers.
HT
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Source: www.helsinkitimes.fi
